Mar 30, 2022
The notion that Ukraine is not a country in its own right, but a historical part of Russia, appears to be deeply ingrained in the minds of many in the Russian leadership. Already long...
Mar 29, 2022
Niels Bohr supposedly said that “prediction is very difficult, especially about the...
Mar 25, 2022
A lot of comments on Justice Creep fell into three categories:
First, people who thought some variety of: yes, all this stuff is definitely a justice issue, and it’s good that language is starting to reflect that more. For example,
Mar 23, 2022
Erik Hoel has an interesting new essay, Why We Stopped Making Einsteins. It argues that an apparent decline in great minds is caused by the replacement of aristocratic tutoring by ordinary education.
Hoel worries we’re running out of...
Mar 22, 2022
Changes in Ukraine prediction markets since my last post March 14: