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Astral Codex Ten Podcast

Apr 29, 2023

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-42423

Can AIs Predict The Future? By Which We Mean The Past?

If we asked GPT-4 to play a prediction market, how would it do?

Actual GPT-4 probably would just give us some boring boilerplate about how the future is uncertain and it’s irresponsible to speculate. But...


Apr 29, 2023

 

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that around two or three of the links in each links post are wrong or misleading. I correct these as I see them, and will highlight...


Apr 22, 2023

Sam Kriss has a post on nerds and hipsters. I think he gets the hipsters right, but bungles the nerds.

Hipsters, he says, are an information sorting algorithm. They discover things, then place them on the altar of Fame so everyone else can enjoy them. Before the Beatles were so canonical that they were impossible to...


Apr 22, 2023

[Content note: food, dieting, obesity]

I.

The Hungry Brain gives off a bit of a Malcolm Gladwell vibe, with its cutesy name and pop-neuroscience style. But don’t be fooled. Stephan Guyenet is no Gladwell-style dilettante. He’s a neuroscientist studying nutrition, with a side job as a nutrition consultant, who...


Apr 21, 2023

Table of Contents

1: Comments From The Author Of The Book
2: Stories From People In The Trenches
3: Stories From People In Other Industries
4: Stories From People Who Use Mechanical Turk
5: Comments About Regulation, Liability, and Vetocracy
6: Comments About The Act/Omission Distinction
7: Comments About The...