Nov 30, 2021
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mm-omicron-variant
Noah Smith has a good summary of the Omicron evidence here, including a lot of quotes from experts. But experts say a lot of stuff like “well, it could be bad, but we can’t be sure”, plus sometimes they disagree. This is the kind of situation where...
Nov 28, 2021
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/06/14/the-virtue-of-silence/
Leah Libresco writes a couple of essays (1, 2) on an ethical dilemma reported in the New York Times. In the course of a confidential medical history, a doctor hears her patient is suffering from stress-related complaints after having sent an innocent man to...
Nov 26, 2021
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-november
[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that around two or three of the links in each links post are wrong or misleading. I correct these as I see them, and will highlight...
Nov 25, 2021
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/pascalian-medicine
I.
When I reviewed Vitamin D, I said I was about 75% sure it didn’t work against COVID. When I reviewed ivermectin, I said I was about 90% sure.
Another way of looking at this is that I must think there’s a 25% chance Vitamin D works, and a 10% chance...
Nov 24, 2021
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/higlights-from-the-comments-on-ivermectin
Thanks to everyone who commented on my recent post Ivermectin: Much More Than You Wanted To Know.
Let’s start with the negative comments. Leading pro-ivermectin website ivmmeta.com understandably disagreed with my fisking of them. They...