Jan 29, 2023
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/janus-simulators
This post isn’t exactly about AI. But the first three parts will be kind of technical AI stuff, so bear with me.
I. The Maskless Shoggoth On The Left
Janus writes about Simulators.
In the early 2000s, the early AI alignment pioneers - Eliezer Yudkowsky, Nick...
Jan 26, 2023
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/you-dont-want-a-purely-biological
CONTENT NOTE: This essay contains sentences that would look bad taken out of context. In the past, I’ve said “PLEASE DON’T TAKE THIS OUT OF CONTEXT” before or after these, but in the New York Times’ 2021 article on me, they just quoted...
Jan 26, 2023
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/who-predicted-2022
Winners and takeaways from last year's prediction contest
Last year saw surging inflation, a Russian invasion of Ukraine, and a surprise victory for Democrats in the US Senate. Pundits, politicians, and economists were caught flat-footed by these developments. Did...
Jan 22, 2023
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/acx-survey-results-2022
Thanks to the 7,341 people who took the 2022 Astral Codex Ten
survey.
See the questions for the ACX survey
See the results from the ACX Survey (click “see previous responses” on that page
I’ll be publishing more complicated analyses over the course...
Jan 22, 2023
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/which-political-victories-cause-backlash
Four years ago I wrote Trump: A Setback For Trumpism, pointing out that when Trump became president, his beliefs became much less popular. For example:
More recently we’ve seen what seems to me to be a similar phenomenon (source):
After a...