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Astral Codex Ten Podcast

Jan 28, 2022

I’m experimenting with making this more structured this time, so:

Section I: Collection of comments on US health care
Section II: Drug pricing, and does the US subsidize the rest of the world?
Section III: Why are health economics so...

Jan 27, 2022



Suppose you're a liberal who doesn't trust FOX News. One day you're at the airport, waiting for a plane, ambiently watching the TV at the gate. It's FOX News, and they're saying that a mass shooter just shot twenty people in Yankee Stadium. There’s...

Jan 26, 2022


At the beginning of every year, I make predictions. At the end of every year, I score them. Here are 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020.

And here are the predictions I made for 2021 (in April; I was really late). Bolded statements happened,...

Jan 22, 2022

I promised you all that once I was done with the main round of ACX Grants, I would run Grants ++, where I publish the proposals that didn't get funded here, so readers could look at them, see if they’re...