Jun 30, 2026
Guest post by Alexander "Sasha" Putilin
[This is a guest post by 2024 ACX grantee Sasha Putilin. I encourage any ACX grantees who are interested to write about their projects. - SA]
The results of my ACX Grants 2024 project are in.
The project attempted to replicate the 2023 study “Learning at your brain’s rhythm:...
Jun 30, 2026
I recently had a minor spat over someone misinterpreting my AI beliefs (see section marked “Update” at the bottom here), so I thought I would list them in one place, so I can refer people when they ask.
Timelines1
Define AGI as AI intelligent enough to do 90% of knowledge work jobs. I think there’s a 25% chance...
Jun 19, 2026
The philosophers of the Frankfurt School practiced a technique called negative dialectics, where concepts are defined as much by what you can’t say about them as what you can. Appropriately, the Frankfurt School has ended up defined by what you can’t say about them.
You can’t say that they invented a new form of...
Jun 19, 2026
I’m not saying AI is superintelligent or can decide better than you can. I’m saying that if you - like me - spend an hour or so doing research before voting on local seats, AI can aid that research very effectively. And if you don’t do that research - because you weren’t willing to waste an hour on it before -...
Jun 19, 2026
One popular objection to AI concerns is to declare that LLMs can never be AGI. You need a “new paradigm”. Therefore, AGI is so far in the future that it’s not worth worrying about.
A common counterargument is to claim that no, LLMs can become AGI. But even without that counterargument, I think the “therefore”...